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The prediction market for real-world events

Related topics

  • Elon MuskPredictions and odds
  • SpacePredictions and odds

Popular markets: Tech

  • How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct in 2026?
  • How many Falcon launches in November?
  • How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct October 21–27?

New markets: Tech

  • How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct in 2026?
  • How many Falcon launches in November?
  • How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct October 21–27?
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How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct October 21–27?

-- chance

100%75%50%25%0%
-- Vol.Oct 27, 2026
OutcomeChance
3

3

-- Vol.

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4O

4 or more

-- Vol.

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2

2

-- Vol.

—
0

0–1

-- Vol.

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Rules

Each outcome is a separate "Yes / No" market. The market resolves according to official sources as of Oct 27, 2026. The resolution source is the official data specified above. If the event has already happened but is not yet reflected in the source by the end date, the market may stay open until the end of the seventh day after the end date, until the data appears. If the data is still unavailable by then, another reliable source will be used. Once the data is published, the market stays open for 24 hours to account for possible revisions. It then resolves based on the latest available data.

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How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct October 21–27?

3·Yes

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