How many Falcon launches will SpaceX conduct in 2026?
-- chance
100%75%50%25%0%
-- Vol.Dec 31, 2026
OutcomeChance
140–144
-- Vol.
—
135–139
-- Vol.
—
145–149
-- Vol.
—
Under 135
-- Vol.
—
150 or more
-- Vol.
—
Rules
Based on the number of Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches in 2026 (UTC). As of October 20: 119 launches.
The resolution source is the official data specified above. If the event has already happened but is not yet reflected in the source by the end date, the market may stay open until the end of the seventh day after the end date, until the data appears. If the data is still unavailable by then, another reliable source will be used.
Once the data is published, the market stays open for 24 hours to account for possible revisions. It then resolves based on the latest available data.
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